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Essays, policy briefs and country analysis
Every entry published by African Ledger, newest first. Two essays and three policy briefs a month, for trade practitioners, policymakers and AfCFTA scholars.
Ethiopia’s Second Transformation
Ethiopia is moving from a development model centred on public investment and state direction towards a more market-oriented economic framework. The central issue is whether this transition can deepen the…
Can Africa’s Special Economic Zones Build More Than Factories?
In May 2026, Kenya amended its Special Economic Zones framework. The amendment was presented as part of efforts to strengthen the investment environment and improve the competitiveness of the country’s…
Who Gets the Small Business?
On 2 September 2026, President William Ruto directed the Kenyan government to crack down on foreign nationals operating small-scale businesses. The directive followed complaints from Kenyan traders who argued that…
Rethinking Development as Productive Transformation in Africa
Development? Development cannot simply be reduced to economic growth alone. Growth tells us that an economy has become larger. It does not, by itself, tell us what changed in the…
Kenya has a Service Economy. Can it be productive?
55% of GDP and what it would take to turn that into development.
Can Africa pay its way to industrialisation? Subsidies under the AfCFTA and the WTO
Institutions now tell African governments to subsidise industry. But the AfCFTA never defines a subsidy, bans no category, sets no test for harm, and makes nobody declare what they pay.…
Can Africa ban its way to Industrialisation? Mineral Export Restrictions under the AfCFTA and the GATT
African states are banning unprocessed mineral exports to force value addition at home. The objective is sound. The instrument is caught by AfCFTA article 9 and GATT article XI:1, and…
Africa’s Much-Needed Conversation About its Institutions
The consensus, and where it stops being useful The settled answer to the question of what drives economic development is incomplete in Africa. On the standard account, growth requires two…